Premier League · Regular Season - 1
VSAmerican Express Stadium
Expected goals1.89 – 1.68
ConfidenceHigh · 86.6%
League positions8 · 4
Model agreement92.8%
Projected corners9.4
Projected yellow cards2.5
Projected red cards0.18
Statistical profile

Team comparison

BrightonMetricAston Villa
0.63Recent form score0.50
1.90Attacking strength2.30
1.90Team strength1.50
0.00Squad availability0.00
0.16Rest score0.16
Model probabilities

All prediction markets

Bookmaker odds appear only when supplied by the connected provider and remain separate from our model.

Both Teams to Score

First half

No69.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Yes30.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Full time

Yes69.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
No30.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Match Result

First half

Draw35.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home35.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away29.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Full time

Home45.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away30.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Draw24.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Team Goals

First half

Home over 0.557.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 0.553.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 0.547.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 0.542.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 1.582.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 1.579.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home over 1.520.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 1.517.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 2.595.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 2.594.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home over 2.55.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 2.54.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 3.599.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 3.598.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home over 3.51.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 3.50.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Hot probabilityAway under 4.599.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 4.599.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home over 4.50.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 4.50.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Full time

Home over 0.584.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 0.581.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 0.518.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 0.515.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home over 1.556.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 1.550.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 1.549.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 1.543.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 2.576.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 2.570.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home over 2.529.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 2.523.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 3.591.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 3.587.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home over 3.512.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 3.59.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away under 4.597.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home under 4.595.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home over 4.54.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away over 4.52.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Total Goals

First half

Over 0.579.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 0.520.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 1.552.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 1.547.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 2.578.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 2.521.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 3.592.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 3.58.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 4.597.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 4.52.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Full time

Over 0.596.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 0.53.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 1.587.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 1.512.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 2.569.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 2.530.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 3.552.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 3.547.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 4.571.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 4.528.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Asian Handicap

Full time

Away -2.589.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home -2.510.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away -287.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home -212.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away -1.576.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home -1.523.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away -170.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home -129.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away -0.7556.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home -0.7543.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away -0.556.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home -0.543.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away -0.2556.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home -0.2543.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home 055.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away 044.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home 0.2565.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away 0.2534.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home 0.565.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away 0.534.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home 0.7565.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away 0.7534.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home 179.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away 121.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home 1.582.7%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away 1.517.3%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home 292.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away 27.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home 2.592.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away 2.57.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Clean Sheet

Full time

Away no84.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home no81.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Home yes18.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away yes15.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Double Chance

Full time

1X73.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
1273.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
X252.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Draw No Bet

Full time

Home64.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Away35.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Total Corners

Full time

Over 6.583.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 6.517.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 7.572.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 7.527.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 8.559.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 8.540.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 9.553.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 9.546.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 10.565.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 10.534.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 11.576.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 11.524.0%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 12.584.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 12.515.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Red Cards

Full time

Under 0.583.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 0.516.5%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 1.598.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 1.51.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Yellow Cards

Full time

Under 2.554.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 2.545.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 3.575.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 3.524.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 4.589.1%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 4.510.9%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 5.595.8%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 5.54.2%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Under 6.598.6%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied
Over 6.51.4%
Bookmaker oddsNot supplied

Correct Score

Full time

1 – 18.9%
2 – 18.4%
1 – 27.5%
2 – 27.1%
3 – 15.3%
1 – 05.3%
2 – 05.0%
0 – 14.7%
3 – 24.5%
1 – 34.2%

First half

0 – 020.1%
1 – 017.1%
0 – 115.2%
1 – 112.9%
2 – 07.3%
0 – 25.7%
2 – 15.5%
1 – 24.9%
2 – 22.1%
3 – 02.1%
Explainable forecast

Why the model sees it this way

Home

Team Strength

Team strength favours the home team in the current data snapshot.

Home

Form

Recent form favours the home team in the current data snapshot.

Away

Attacking Strength

Attacking strength favours the away team in the current data snapshot.

Historical context

Recent form and head-to-head

Brighton

Tromso0 – 0Brighton
Brighton1 – 0Bologna
Brighton3 – 0AS Roma
Brighton4 – 3Strasbourg
Brighton0 – 3Manchester United

Aston Villa

Borussia Mönchengladbach2 – 1Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain2 – 1Aston Villa
Bayern München2 – 1Aston Villa
BG Pathum United1 – 3Aston Villa
Aston Villa2 – 4Real Sociedad

Head-to-head

Aston Villa1 – 0Brighton
Brighton3 – 4Aston Villa
Squad information

Availability and injuries

Home availability score0.0%
Away availability score0.0%

No fixture-specific injury records were supplied by the connected provider for this forecast.

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